ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Margaret Heffernan - Management thinker
The former CEO of five businesses, Margaret Heffernan explores the all-too-human thought patterns -- like conflict avoidance and selective blindness -- that lead organizations and managers astray.

Why you should listen

How do organizations think? In her book Willful Blindness, Margaret Heffernan examines why businesses and the people who run them often ignore the obvious -- with consequences as dire as the global financial crisis and Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster.

Heffernan began her career in television production, building a track record at the BBC before going on to run the film and television producer trade association IPPA. In the US, Heffernan became a serial entrepreneur and CEO in the wild early days of web business. She now blogs for the Huffington Post and BNET.com. Her latest book, Beyond Measure, a TED Books original, explores the small steps companies can make that lead to big changes in their culture.

More profile about the speaker
Margaret Heffernan | Speaker | TED.com
TEDGlobal 2012

Margaret Heffernan: Dare to disagree

Filmed:
3,921,245 views

Most people instinctively avoid conflict, but as Margaret Heffernan shows us, good disagreement is central to progress. She illustrates (sometimes counterintuitively) how the best partners aren’t echo chambers -- and how great research teams, relationships and businesses allow people to deeply disagree.
- Management thinker
The former CEO of five businesses, Margaret Heffernan explores the all-too-human thought patterns -- like conflict avoidance and selective blindness -- that lead organizations and managers astray. Full bio

Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.

00:16
In Oxford in the 1950s,
0
424
1862
00:18
there was a fantastic doctor, who was very unusual,
1
2286
3768
00:21
named Alice Stewart.
2
6054
2032
00:23
And Alice was unusual partly because, of course,
3
8086
3143
00:27
she was a woman, which was pretty rare in the 1950s.
4
11229
3480
00:30
And she was brilliant, she was one of the,
5
14709
2111
00:32
at the time, the youngest Fellow to be elected to the Royal College of Physicians.
6
16820
4816
00:37
She was unusual too because she continued to work after she got married,
7
21636
3757
00:41
after she had kids,
8
25393
2095
00:43
and even after she got divorced and was a single parent,
9
27488
3008
00:46
she continued her medical work.
10
30496
2283
00:48
And she was unusual because she was really interested in a new science,
11
32779
4120
00:52
the emerging field of epidemiology,
12
36899
2624
00:55
the study of patterns in disease.
13
39523
3488
00:58
But like every scientist, she appreciated
14
43011
2168
01:01
that to make her mark, what she needed to do
15
45179
2256
01:03
was find a hard problem and solve it.
16
47435
4518
01:07
The hard problem that Alice chose
17
51953
2544
01:10
was the rising incidence of childhood cancers.
18
54497
3398
01:13
Most disease is correlated with poverty,
19
57895
2190
01:15
but in the case of childhood cancers,
20
60085
2269
01:18
the children who were dying seemed mostly to come
21
62354
2604
01:20
from affluent families.
22
64958
2445
01:23
So, what, she wanted to know,
23
67403
1743
01:25
could explain this anomaly?
24
69146
3082
01:28
Now, Alice had trouble getting funding for her research.
25
72228
2783
01:30
In the end, she got just 1,000 pounds
26
75011
1991
01:32
from the Lady Tata Memorial prize.
27
77002
2255
01:35
And that meant she knew she only had one shot
28
79257
2543
01:37
at collecting her data.
29
81800
2042
01:39
Now, she had no idea what to look for.
30
83842
2477
01:42
This really was a needle in a haystack sort of search,
31
86319
3116
01:45
so she asked everything she could think of.
32
89435
2622
01:47
Had the children eaten boiled sweets?
33
92057
1833
01:49
Had they consumed colored drinks?
34
93890
2073
01:51
Did they eat fish and chips?
35
95963
1647
01:53
Did they have indoor or outdoor plumbing?
36
97610
2008
01:55
What time of life had they started school?
37
99618
3416
01:58
And when her carbon copied questionnaire started to come back,
38
103034
3368
02:02
one thing and one thing only jumped out
39
106402
2920
02:05
with the statistical clarity of a kind that
40
109322
2536
02:07
most scientists can only dream of.
41
111858
2840
02:10
By a rate of two to one,
42
114698
1920
02:12
the children who had died
43
116618
2081
02:14
had had mothers who had been X-rayed when pregnant.
44
118699
6295
02:20
Now that finding flew in the face of conventional wisdom.
45
124994
4505
02:25
Conventional wisdom held
46
129499
1907
02:27
that everything was safe up to a point, a threshold.
47
131406
3997
02:31
It flew in the face of conventional wisdom,
48
135403
2327
02:33
which was huge enthusiasm for the cool new technology
49
137730
3458
02:37
of that age, which was the X-ray machine.
50
141188
3646
02:40
And it flew in the face of doctors' idea of themselves,
51
144834
4224
02:44
which was as people who helped patients,
52
149058
3808
02:48
they didn't harm them.
53
152866
2696
02:51
Nevertheless, Alice Stewart rushed to publish
54
155562
3688
02:55
her preliminary findings in The Lancet in 1956.
55
159250
3584
02:58
People got very excited, there was talk of the Nobel Prize,
56
162834
4008
03:02
and Alice really was in a big hurry
57
166842
2120
03:04
to try to study all the cases of childhood cancer she could find
58
168962
3791
03:08
before they disappeared.
59
172753
2153
03:10
In fact, she need not have hurried.
60
174906
4344
03:15
It was fully 25 years before the British and medical --
61
179250
4191
03:19
British and American medical establishments
62
183441
2872
03:22
abandoned the practice of X-raying pregnant women.
63
186313
6104
03:28
The data was out there, it was open, it was freely available,
64
192417
5481
03:33
but nobody wanted to know.
65
197898
4224
03:38
A child a week was dying,
66
202122
2684
03:40
but nothing changed.
67
204806
2733
03:43
Openness alone can't drive change.
68
207539
6255
03:49
So for 25 years Alice Stewart had a very big fight on her hands.
69
213794
5617
03:55
So, how did she know that she was right?
70
219411
3247
03:58
Well, she had a fantastic model for thinking.
71
222658
3663
04:02
She worked with a statistician named George Kneale,
72
226321
2245
04:04
and George was pretty much everything that Alice wasn't.
73
228566
2384
04:06
So, Alice was very outgoing and sociable,
74
230950
3069
04:09
and George was a recluse.
75
234019
2458
04:12
Alice was very warm, very empathetic with her patients.
76
236477
4014
04:16
George frankly preferred numbers to people.
77
240491
4039
04:20
But he said this fantastic thing about their working relationship.
78
244530
3978
04:24
He said, "My job is to prove Dr. Stewart wrong."
79
248508
6336
04:30
He actively sought disconfirmation.
80
254844
3557
04:34
Different ways of looking at her models,
81
258401
2337
04:36
at her statistics, different ways of crunching the data
82
260738
3257
04:39
in order to disprove her.
83
263995
3063
04:42
He saw his job as creating conflict around her theories.
84
267058
5624
04:48
Because it was only by not being able to prove
85
272682
3096
04:51
that she was wrong,
86
275778
2368
04:54
that George could give Alice the confidence she needed
87
278146
3121
04:57
to know that she was right.
88
281267
2982
05:00
It's a fantastic model of collaboration --
89
284249
4675
05:04
thinking partners who aren't echo chambers.
90
288924
5007
05:09
I wonder how many of us have,
91
293931
2352
05:12
or dare to have, such collaborators.
92
296283
6919
05:19
Alice and George were very good at conflict.
93
303202
3777
05:22
They saw it as thinking.
94
306979
3136
05:26
So what does that kind of constructive conflict require?
95
310115
4273
05:30
Well, first of all, it requires that we find people
96
314388
3375
05:33
who are very different from ourselves.
97
317763
2648
05:36
That means we have to resist the neurobiological drive,
98
320411
4336
05:40
which means that we really prefer people mostly like ourselves,
99
324747
4504
05:45
and it means we have to seek out people
100
329251
2224
05:47
with different backgrounds, different disciplines,
101
331475
2472
05:49
different ways of thinking and different experience,
102
333947
4151
05:53
and find ways to engage with them.
103
338098
3865
05:57
That requires a lot of patience and a lot of energy.
104
341963
4644
06:02
And the more I've thought about this,
105
346607
1811
06:04
the more I think, really, that that's a kind of love.
106
348418
5161
06:09
Because you simply won't commit that kind of energy
107
353579
3069
06:12
and time if you don't really care.
108
356648
4691
06:17
And it also means that we have to be prepared to change our minds.
109
361339
4460
06:21
Alice's daughter told me
110
365799
2364
06:24
that every time Alice went head-to-head with a fellow scientist,
111
368163
3112
06:27
they made her think and think and think again.
112
371275
4184
06:31
"My mother," she said, "My mother didn't enjoy a fight,
113
375459
4018
06:35
but she was really good at them."
114
379477
5142
06:40
So it's one thing to do that in a one-to-one relationship.
115
384619
4170
06:44
But it strikes me that the biggest problems we face,
116
388789
3287
06:47
many of the biggest disasters that we've experienced,
117
392076
2874
06:50
mostly haven't come from individuals,
118
394950
1951
06:52
they've come from organizations,
119
396901
1888
06:54
some of them bigger than countries,
120
398789
2008
06:56
many of them capable of affecting hundreds,
121
400797
2260
06:58
thousands, even millions of lives.
122
403057
4003
07:02
So how do organizations think?
123
407060
4438
07:07
Well, for the most part, they don't.
124
411498
4026
07:11
And that isn't because they don't want to,
125
415524
2993
07:14
it's really because they can't.
126
418517
2405
07:16
And they can't because the people inside of them
127
420922
3347
07:20
are too afraid of conflict.
128
424269
4208
07:24
In surveys of European and American executives,
129
428477
2864
07:27
fully 85 percent of them acknowledged
130
431341
2970
07:30
that they had issues or concerns at work
131
434311
3517
07:33
that they were afraid to raise.
132
437828
3633
07:37
Afraid of the conflict that that would provoke,
133
441461
3159
07:40
afraid to get embroiled in arguments
134
444620
2368
07:42
that they did not know how to manage,
135
446988
2031
07:44
and felt that they were bound to lose.
136
449019
4577
07:49
Eighty-five percent is a really big number.
137
453596
6177
07:55
It means that organizations mostly can't do
138
459773
2815
07:58
what George and Alice so triumphantly did.
139
462588
2328
08:00
They can't think together.
140
464916
4399
08:05
And it means that people like many of us,
141
469315
2241
08:07
who have run organizations,
142
471556
2184
08:09
and gone out of our way to try to find the very best people we can,
143
473740
3567
08:13
mostly fail to get the best out of them.
144
477307
6273
08:19
So how do we develop the skills that we need?
145
483580
3336
08:22
Because it does take skill and practice, too.
146
486916
4083
08:26
If we aren't going to be afraid of conflict,
147
490999
3414
08:30
we have to see it as thinking,
148
494413
2159
08:32
and then we have to get really good at it.
149
496572
4336
08:36
So, recently, I worked with an executive named Joe,
150
500908
4264
08:41
and Joe worked for a medical device company.
151
505172
3472
08:44
And Joe was very worried about the device that he was working on.
152
508644
2975
08:47
He thought that it was too complicated
153
511619
3025
08:50
and he thought that its complexity
154
514644
1864
08:52
created margins of error that could really hurt people.
155
516508
4267
08:56
He was afraid of doing damage to the patients he was trying to help.
156
520775
4140
09:00
But when he looked around his organization,
157
524915
2305
09:03
nobody else seemed to be at all worried.
158
527220
4461
09:07
So, he didn't really want to say anything.
159
531681
2555
09:10
After all, maybe they knew something he didn't.
160
534236
2184
09:12
Maybe he'd look stupid.
161
536420
2584
09:14
But he kept worrying about it,
162
539004
2206
09:17
and he worried about it so much that he got to the point
163
541210
3046
09:20
where he thought the only thing he could do
164
544256
2159
09:22
was leave a job he loved.
165
546415
4130
09:26
In the end, Joe and I found a way
166
550545
4000
09:30
for him to raise his concerns.
167
554545
1855
09:32
And what happened then is what almost always
168
556400
2871
09:35
happens in this situation.
169
559271
1594
09:36
It turned out everybody had exactly the same
170
560865
3221
09:39
questions and doubts.
171
564086
1746
09:41
So now Joe had allies. They could think together.
172
565832
4032
09:45
And yes, there was a lot of conflict and debate
173
569864
3264
09:49
and argument, but that allowed everyone around the table
174
573128
4304
09:53
to be creative, to solve the problem,
175
577432
4080
09:57
and to change the device.
176
581512
4328
10:01
Joe was what a lot of people might think of
177
585840
3376
10:05
as a whistle-blower,
178
589216
2272
10:07
except that like almost all whistle-blowers,
179
591488
2715
10:10
he wasn't a crank at all,
180
594203
2373
10:12
he was passionately devoted to the organization
181
596576
3448
10:15
and the higher purposes that that organization served.
182
600024
3448
10:19
But he had been so afraid of conflict,
183
603472
3816
10:23
until finally he became more afraid of the silence.
184
607288
5080
10:28
And when he dared to speak,
185
612368
1859
10:30
he discovered much more inside himself
186
614227
3398
10:33
and much more give in the system than he had ever imagined.
187
617625
5242
10:38
And his colleagues don't think of him as a crank.
188
622867
3331
10:42
They think of him as a leader.
189
626198
5128
10:47
So, how do we have these conversations more easily
190
631326
4368
10:51
and more often?
191
635694
1913
10:53
Well, the University of Delft
192
637607
1986
10:55
requires that its PhD students
193
639593
2397
10:57
have to submit five statements that they're prepared to defend.
194
641990
3913
11:01
It doesn't really matter what the statements are about,
195
645903
3384
11:05
what matters is that the candidates are willing and able
196
649287
3792
11:08
to stand up to authority.
197
653079
2603
11:11
I think it's a fantastic system,
198
655682
2364
11:13
but I think leaving it to PhD candidates
199
658046
2513
11:16
is far too few people, and way too late in life.
200
660559
4305
11:20
I think we need to be teaching these skills
201
664864
3166
11:23
to kids and adults at every stage of their development,
202
668030
4080
11:28
if we want to have thinking organizations
203
672110
2449
11:30
and a thinking society.
204
674559
3647
11:34
The fact is that most of the biggest catastrophes that we've witnessed
205
678206
5618
11:39
rarely come from information that is secret or hidden.
206
683824
6391
11:46
It comes from information that is freely available and out there,
207
690215
4304
11:50
but that we are willfully blind to,
208
694519
2384
11:52
because we can't handle, don't want to handle,
209
696903
3128
11:55
the conflict that it provokes.
210
700031
4407
12:00
But when we dare to break that silence,
211
704438
2929
12:03
or when we dare to see,
212
707367
2657
12:05
and we create conflict,
213
710024
2255
12:08
we enable ourselves and the people around us
214
712279
2625
12:10
to do our very best thinking.
215
714904
4246
12:15
Open information is fantastic,
216
719150
3376
12:18
open networks are essential.
217
722526
3184
12:21
But the truth won't set us free
218
725710
1977
12:23
until we develop the skills and the habit and the talent
219
727687
3764
12:27
and the moral courage to use it.
220
731451
4137
12:31
Openness isn't the end.
221
735588
3760
12:35
It's the beginning.
222
739348
2642
12:37
(Applause)
223
741990
11479
Translated by Thu-Huong Ha
Reviewed by Morton Bast

▲Back to top

ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Margaret Heffernan - Management thinker
The former CEO of five businesses, Margaret Heffernan explores the all-too-human thought patterns -- like conflict avoidance and selective blindness -- that lead organizations and managers astray.

Why you should listen

How do organizations think? In her book Willful Blindness, Margaret Heffernan examines why businesses and the people who run them often ignore the obvious -- with consequences as dire as the global financial crisis and Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster.

Heffernan began her career in television production, building a track record at the BBC before going on to run the film and television producer trade association IPPA. In the US, Heffernan became a serial entrepreneur and CEO in the wild early days of web business. She now blogs for the Huffington Post and BNET.com. Her latest book, Beyond Measure, a TED Books original, explores the small steps companies can make that lead to big changes in their culture.

More profile about the speaker
Margaret Heffernan | Speaker | TED.com