TED Salon U.S. Air Force
Michele Wucker: Why we ignore obvious problems -- and how to act on them
Michele Wucker: Mengapa kita mengabaikan masalah nyata -- dan bagaimana menyikapinya
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Readability: 3.4
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Mengapa kita sering mengabaikan masalah besar seperti krisis keuangan dan perubahan iklim sampai semuanya terlambat? Ahli strategi kebijakan Michelle Wucker mengajak kita semua untuk menggantikan mitos "angsa hitam" -- bencana yang langka, tidak dapat diantisipasi, dan tidak terhindarkan -- dengan realita "badak abu-abu," bahaya yang dapat dicegah tapi malah kita abaikan. Michelle menunjukkan mengapa krisis yang dapat kita prediksi malah mengejutkan kita -- dan juga memberikan tanda-tanda kemungkinan adanya badak abu-abu yang mengamuk dalam hidup.
Michele Wucker - Author, policy analyst
Michele Wucker coined the term "gray rhino" as a metaphor for obvious risks that are neglected despite -- in fact, often because of -- their size and likelihood. Full bio
Michele Wucker coined the term "gray rhino" as a metaphor for obvious risks that are neglected despite -- in fact, often because of -- their size and likelihood. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:13
So what if there were
a highly obvious problem
a highly obvious problem
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Bagaimana kalau ada masalah
yang sangat jelas
yang sangat jelas
00:17
right in front of you?
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di depan mata Anda?
00:19
One that everyone was talking about,
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Masalah yang dibicarakan semua orang,
00:22
one that affected you directly.
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yang berdampak langsung pada Anda.
00:25
Would you do everything
within your power to fix things
within your power to fix things
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Apa Anda akan berusaha sebisa
mungkin untuk memperbaiki semua
mungkin untuk memperbaiki semua
00:29
before they got worse?
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sebelum bertambah parah?
Jangan yakin dulu.
00:32
Don't be so sure.
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00:34
We are all much more likely
than any of us would like to admit
than any of us would like to admit
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Lebih banyak dari kita yang
condong untuk tidak sadar
condong untuk tidak sadar
00:38
to miss what's right in front of our eyes.
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akan masalah yang terjadi di depan mata.
00:41
And in fact,
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Dan malahan,
00:43
we're sometimes most likely
to turn away from things
to turn away from things
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terkadang kita memiliki kebiasaan
kabur dari hal tertentu
kabur dari hal tertentu
00:47
precisely because of the threat
that they represent to us,
that they represent to us,
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tepatnya karena ancaman
bagi kita,
bagi kita,
00:51
in business, life and the world.
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dari segi bisnis, kehidupan, dan dunia.
00:55
So I want to give you an example
from my world, economic policy.
from my world, economic policy.
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Saya ingin memberi satu contoh
dari ranah saya, kebijakan ekonomi.
dari ranah saya, kebijakan ekonomi.
01:00
So when Alan Greenspan
was head of the Federal Reserve,
was head of the Federal Reserve,
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Saat Alan Greenspan masih jadi
kepala Federal Reserve (OJK di AS),
kepala Federal Reserve (OJK di AS),
01:04
his entire job was to watch out
for problems in the US economy
for problems in the US economy
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tugasnya adalah bersiaga terhadap
masalah-masalah dalam ekonomi AS
masalah-masalah dalam ekonomi AS
01:09
and to make sure that they
didn't spin out of control.
didn't spin out of control.
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dan memastikan agar tidak
semakin parah di luar kendali.
semakin parah di luar kendali.
01:12
So, after 2006,
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Jadi, setelah tahun 2006,
01:14
when real estate prices peaked,
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saat harga properti naik drastis,
01:16
more and more and more
respected leaders and institutions
respected leaders and institutions
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semakin banyak pemimpin
dan institusi terhormat yang
dan institusi terhormat yang
01:21
started to sound the alarm bells
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mulai menggaungkan peringatan
01:24
about risky lending
and dangerous market bubbles.
and dangerous market bubbles.
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tentang peminjaman berisiko dan
gelembung pasar berbahaya.
gelembung pasar berbahaya.
01:29
As you know, in 2008
it all came tumbling down.
it all came tumbling down.
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Seperti yang Anda tahu,
di tahun 2008, semua itu runtuh.
di tahun 2008, semua itu runtuh.
01:33
Banks collapsed,
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Semua bank kolaps,
01:34
global stock markets
lost nearly half their value,
lost nearly half their value,
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Pasar saham global kehilangan
hampir 50% dari nilai mereka,
hampir 50% dari nilai mereka,
01:37
millions and millions of people
lost their homes to foreclosure.
lost their homes to foreclosure.
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Jutaan orang kehilangan rumah
mereka karena penyitaan.
mereka karena penyitaan.
01:42
And at the bottom,
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Dan ujung-ujungnya,
01:43
nearly one in 10 Americans
was out of work.
was out of work.
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nyaris satu dari sepuluh orang
Amerika jadi pengangguran.
Amerika jadi pengangguran.
01:48
So after things calmed down a little bit,
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Setelah semuanya sedikit mereda,
01:51
Greenspan and many others
came out with a postmortem and said,
came out with a postmortem and said,
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Greenspan dan yang lainnya
baru mengeluarkan pernyataan,
baru mengeluarkan pernyataan,
01:56
"Nobody could have predicted that crisis."
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"Krisis itu tidak dapat diprediksi."
01:58
They called it "a black swan."
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Mereka menyebutnya "angsa hitam."
02:01
Something that was unimaginable,
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Sesuatu yang tak terbayangkan,
02:04
unforeseeable and completely improbable.
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tidak dapat diduga dan
sama sekali mustahil.
sama sekali mustahil.
02:09
A total surprise.
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Sebuah kejutan besar.
02:11
Except it wasn't always such a surprise.
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Tapi sebenarnya itu
tidak begitu mengejutkan.
tidak begitu mengejutkan.
02:15
For example, my Manhattan apartment
nearly doubled in value
nearly doubled in value
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Contoh, harga apartemen saya
di Manhattan nyaris naik 2x lipat
di Manhattan nyaris naik 2x lipat
02:19
in less than four years.
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dalam kurun waktu kurang dari 4 tahun.
02:21
I saw the writing on the wall
and I sold it.
and I sold it.
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Saya melihat tulisan itu di dinding,
terus menjual apartemennya.
terus menjual apartemennya.
02:25
(Laughter)
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(tertawa)
02:27
(Applause)
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(tepuk tangan)
02:31
So, a lot of other people
also saw the warning,
also saw the warning,
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Semakin banyak juga
yang melihat tanda-tanda,
yang melihat tanda-tanda,
02:34
spoke out publicly
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lalu berkoar secara terbuka,
02:36
and they were ignored.
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dan mereka malah diabaikan.
02:38
So we didn't know exactly
what the crisis was going to look like,
what the crisis was going to look like,
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Jadi kita tidak tahu krisisnya
akan jadi seperti apa,
akan jadi seperti apa,
02:43
not the exact parameters,
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tidak dengan parameter spesifiknya,
02:45
but we could all tell
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tapi kita semua tahu
02:47
that the thing coming at us
was as dangerous, visible and predictable
was as dangerous, visible and predictable
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masalah di depan kita berbahaya,
jelas, dan bisa diperkirakan
jelas, dan bisa diperkirakan
02:53
as a giant gray rhino
charging right at us.
charging right at us.
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seperti badak abu-abu raksasa
yang mengejar kita.
yang mengejar kita.
02:57
The black swan lends itself
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Angsa hitam memberi kita pemikiran
02:59
to the idea that we don't have
power over our futures.
power over our futures.
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bahwa kita tidak memiliki
kuasa atas masa depan kita.
kuasa atas masa depan kita.
03:04
And unfortunately, the less control
that we think we have,
that we think we have,
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Sayangnya, semakin kita berpikir
kendali yang kita pegang itu sedikit,
kendali yang kita pegang itu sedikit,
03:09
the more likely we are to downplay it
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kita mungkin akan semakin
menggampangkan masalah
menggampangkan masalah
03:12
or ignore it entirely.
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atau sama sekali mengabaikannya.
03:16
And this dangerous dynamic
masks another problem:
masks another problem:
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Dan dinamika berbahaya ini
menutupi masalah lain:
menutupi masalah lain:
03:20
that most of the problems
that we're facing
that we're facing
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kebanyakan masalah yang kita hadapi
03:22
are so probable and obvious,
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sebenarnya begitu jelas dan
mungkin bisa terjadi,
mungkin bisa terjadi,
03:25
they're things that we can see,
but we still don't do anything about.
but we still don't do anything about.
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masalah itu bisa kita lihat,
tapi masih kita abaikan.
tapi masih kita abaikan.
03:29
So I created the gray rhino metaphor
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Jadi saya menciptakan
metafora badak abu-abu
metafora badak abu-abu
03:32
to meet what I felt was an urgent need.
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untuk mengungkapkan apa
yang saya rasa sangat penting.
yang saya rasa sangat penting.
03:35
To help us to take a fresh look,
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Untuk membantu kita
melihat hal secara berbeda,
melihat hal secara berbeda,
03:37
with the same passion
that people had for the black swan,
that people had for the black swan,
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dengan minat yang sama seperti
terhadap angsa hitam,
terhadap angsa hitam,
03:40
but this time, for the things
that were highly obvious,
that were highly obvious,
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tapi kali ini, untuk masalah
yang sangat terlihat jelas,
yang sangat terlihat jelas,
03:44
highly probable, but still neglected.
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sangat mungkin terjadi,
tapi masih tidak dipedulikan.
tapi masih tidak dipedulikan.
Itu adalah badak abu-abu.
03:50
Those are the gray rhinos.
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03:53
Once you start looking for gray rhinos,
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Sekali Anda mulai mencari badak abu-abu,
03:55
you see them in the headlines every day.
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Anda melihatnya di
judul berita setiap hari.
judul berita setiap hari.
03:59
And so what I see in the headlines
is another big gray rhino,
is another big gray rhino,
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Dan yang saya lihat di judul berita
adalah badak abu-abu lain,
adalah badak abu-abu lain,
04:03
a new highly probable financial crisis.
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krisis keuangan yang
sangat mungkin terjadi.
sangat mungkin terjadi.
04:08
And I wonder if we've learned anything
in the last 10 years.
in the last 10 years.
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Dan saya bertanya-tanya apa kita sudah
belajar selama 10 tahun terakhir ini.
belajar selama 10 tahun terakhir ini.
04:12
So if you listen
to Washington or Wall Street,
to Washington or Wall Street,
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Jadi, kalau Anda mengikuti
berita Washington atau Wall Street,
berita Washington atau Wall Street,
04:15
you could almost be forgiven for thinking
that only smooth sailing laid ahead.
that only smooth sailing laid ahead.
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Anda nyaris diampuni kalau berpikir
yang ada di hadapan sana mulus semua.
yang ada di hadapan sana mulus semua.
04:23
But in China, where I spend a lot of time,
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Tapi di Cina, tempat saya
banyak menghabiskan waktu,
banyak menghabiskan waktu,
04:26
the conversation is totally different.
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keadaannya sangat berbeda.
04:29
The entire economic team,
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Seluruh tim ahli ekonomi,
04:31
all the way up to president
Xi Jinping himself,
Xi Jinping himself,
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bahkan sampai ke Xi Jinping,
presidennya sendiri,
presidennya sendiri,
04:34
talk very specifically and clearly
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berkata dengan sangat spesifik dan jelas
04:37
about financial risks as gray rhinos,
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tentang krisis keuangan
sebagai badak abu-abu,
sebagai badak abu-abu,
04:41
and how they can tame them.
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dan bagaimana mereka bisa menjinakkannya.
04:43
Now, to be sure, China and the US
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Untuk memperjelas, Cina dan AS
04:45
have very, very different
systems of government,
systems of government,
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punya sistem pemerintahan
yang sangat berbeda,
yang sangat berbeda,
04:47
which affects what
they're able to do or not.
they're able to do or not.
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membedakan tindakan
yang bisa mereka ambil.
yang bisa mereka ambil.
04:49
And many of the root causes
for their economic problems
for their economic problems
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Dan kebanyakan penyebab utama
masalah ekonomi mereka
masalah ekonomi mereka
04:52
are totally different.
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sangat berbeda jauh.
04:54
But it's no secret
that both countries have problems
that both countries have problems
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Tapi sudah bukan rahasia lagi
kedua negara itu bermasalah dengan
kedua negara itu bermasalah dengan
04:57
with debt, with inequality
and with economic productivity.
and with economic productivity.
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hutang, kesenjangan sosial,
dan produktivitas ekonomi.
dan produktivitas ekonomi.
05:03
So how come the conversations
are so different?
are so different?
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Jadi mengapa percakapannya berbeda jauh?
05:06
You could actually ask this question,
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Anda juga bisa bertanya begitu,
05:08
not just about countries,
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tidak hanya tentang negara,
05:10
but about just about everyone.
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tapi juga semua orang.
05:12
The auto companies that put safety first
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Perusahaan otomotif yang
mengutamakan keselamatan
mengutamakan keselamatan
05:16
and the ones that don't bother
to recall their shoddy cars
to recall their shoddy cars
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dan yang tidak mau menarik
mobil jelek buatan mereka
mobil jelek buatan mereka
05:19
until after people die.
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sampai setelah ada yang mati.
05:24
The grandparents who,
in preparing for the inevitable --
in preparing for the inevitable --
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Kakek nenek yang sedang
bersiap untuk kematian mereka --
bersiap untuk kematian mereka --
05:29
the ones who have the eulogy written,
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yang puisi penghormatannya dan menu
05:33
the menu for the funeral lunch.
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makan siang pemakamannya sudah dibuat.
05:35
(Laughter)
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(tertawa)
05:36
My grandparents did.
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Itu kakek nenek saya dulu.
05:37
(Laughter)
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(tertawa)
05:39
And everything but the final date
chiseled into the gravestone.
chiseled into the gravestone.
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Dan yang semua kecuali tanggal
kematiannya sudah diukir di batu nisan.
kematiannya sudah diukir di batu nisan.
05:44
But then you have the grandparents
on the other side,
on the other side,
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Tapi di satu sisi ada kakek nenek yang
05:47
who don't put
their final affairs in order,
their final affairs in order,
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tidak mengurusi hal-hal terakhir mereka,
05:49
who don't get rid of all the junk
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membuang semua benda sampah yang
05:51
they've been hoarding
for decades and decades
for decades and decades
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sudah mereka kumpulkan
selama puluhan tahun
selama puluhan tahun
05:53
and leave their kids to deal with it.
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dan menyuruh anak mereka mengurusnya.
05:56
So what makes the difference
between one side and the other?
between one side and the other?
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Jadi apa bedanya satu sisi
dengan yang lain?
dengan yang lain?
06:00
Why do some people
see things and deal with them,
see things and deal with them,
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Mengapa beberapa orang sadar
untuk mengatasi masalah,
untuk mengatasi masalah,
06:02
and the other ones just look away?
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tapi yang lain malah lari?
06:06
So the first one has to do
with culture, society,
with culture, society,
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Penyebab pertama ada kaitannya
dengan budaya: masyarakat,
dengan budaya: masyarakat,
06:10
the people around you.
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orang-orang di sekitar Anda.
06:12
If you think that someone around you
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Kalau Anda berpikir orang lain akan
06:15
is going to help
pick you up when you fall,
pick you up when you fall,
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membantu Anda saat Anda gagal,
06:18
you're much more likely
to see a danger as being smaller.
to see a danger as being smaller.
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Anda mungkin akan memandang
masalah itu lebih kecil.
masalah itu lebih kecil.
06:22
And that allows us to take
good chances, not just the bad ones.
good chances, not just the bad ones.
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Dan kita jadi bisa mengambil kesempatan
bagus, tidak hanya yang buruk.
bagus, tidak hanya yang buruk.
06:27
For example, like risking criticism
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Contoh, mengambil risiko dikritik
06:29
when you talk about the danger
that nobody wants you to talk about.
that nobody wants you to talk about.
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saat membicarakan bahaya yang
orang lain tidak mau dengar.
orang lain tidak mau dengar.
06:33
Or taking the opportunities
that are kind of scary,
that are kind of scary,
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Atau mengambil kesempatan
yang rada menakutkan,
yang rada menakutkan,
06:36
so in their own way are gray rhinos.
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jadi kurang lebih mereka itu
badak abu-abu.
badak abu-abu.
06:39
So the US has a very
individualist culture -- go it alone.
individualist culture -- go it alone.
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Budaya AS sangatlah individual --
hadapi semua sendirian.
hadapi semua sendirian.
06:44
And paradoxically,
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Dan secara paradoks,
06:45
this makes many Americans
much less open to change
much less open to change
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banyak orang Amerika kurang
terbuka pada perubahan
terbuka pada perubahan
06:49
and taking good risks.
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dan mengambil risiko baik.
06:51
In China, by contrast,
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Sebaliknya, di Cina,
06:53
people believe that the government
is going to keep problems from happening,
is going to keep problems from happening,
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orang-orang percaya pemerintah
akan mencegah masalah sebelum terjadi,
akan mencegah masalah sebelum terjadi,
06:56
which might not always be what happens,
but people believe it.
but people believe it.
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dan kejadiannya tidak selalu begitu,
tapi orang tetap percaya.
tapi orang tetap percaya.
07:00
They believe they can rely
on their families,
on their families,
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Mereka bisa bergantung pada keluarga,
07:02
so that makes them more likely
to take certain risks.
to take certain risks.
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jadi mereka lebih mungkin
mengambil risiko tertentu.
mengambil risiko tertentu.
07:05
Like buying Beijing real estate,
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Seperti membeli properti Beijing,
07:07
or like being more open about the fact
that they need to change direction,
that they need to change direction,
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atau terbuka pada fakta mereka
perlu mengambil arahan baru,
perlu mengambil arahan baru,
07:10
and in fact, the pace of change in China
is absolutely amazing.
is absolutely amazing.
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dan justru kecepatan perubahan
di Cina sangat mengagumkan.
di Cina sangat mengagumkan.
07:15
Second of all,
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Yang kedua,
07:17
how much do you know about a situation,
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seberapa banyak Anda tahu
soal suatu situasi,
soal suatu situasi,
07:20
how much are you willing to learn?
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seberapa besar keinginan belajar Anda?
07:22
And are you willing to see things
even when it's not what you want?
even when it's not what you want?
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Dan apa Anda mau menerima
realita walau itu bukan keinginan Anda?
realita walau itu bukan keinginan Anda?
07:26
So many of us are so unlikely
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Kebanyakan dari kita mungkin enggan
07:29
to pay attention to the things
that we just want to black out,
that we just want to black out,
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untuk memperhatikan hal yang
ingin kita abaikan,
ingin kita abaikan,
07:32
we don't like them.
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karena kita tidak suka.
07:34
We pay attention to what we want to see,
what we like, what we agree with.
what we like, what we agree with.
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Kita memperhatikan apa yang
ingin kita lihat, suka, dan setujui.
ingin kita lihat, suka, dan setujui.
07:39
But we have the opportunity
and the ability
and the ability
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Tapi kita punya kesempatan dan kemampuan
07:41
to correct those blind spots.
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untuk memperbaiki titik buta itu.
07:44
I spend a lot of time
talking with people of all walks of life
talking with people of all walks of life
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Saya banyak berbicara dengan orang
dari berbagai latar belakang
dari berbagai latar belakang
07:47
about the gray rhinos in their life
and their attitudes.
and their attitudes.
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tentang badak abu-abu dalam
hidup mereka dan sikap mereka.
hidup mereka dan sikap mereka.
07:50
And you might think
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Dan mungkin Anda berpikir
07:52
that the people
who are more afraid of risk,
who are more afraid of risk,
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orang-orang yang takut akan risiko,
07:54
who are more sensitive to them,
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lebih sensitif terhadap risiko,
07:56
would be the ones
who would be less open to change.
who would be less open to change.
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akan tidak terlalu terbuka
terhadap perubahan.
terhadap perubahan.
07:59
But the opposite is actually true.
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Tapi sebaliknya malah benar.
08:01
I've found that the people
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Saya menemukan bahwa
08:03
who are wiling to recognize
the problems around them
the problems around them
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orang yang ingin menyadari
masalah di sekitar mereka
masalah di sekitar mereka
08:05
and make plans
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dan merencanakan solusi
08:07
are the ones who are able
to tolerate more risk, good risk,
to tolerate more risk, good risk,
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justru lebih bisa menolerir
risiko yang baik,
risiko yang baik,
08:10
and deal with the bad risk.
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dan menghadapi risiko buruk.
08:13
And it's because as we seek information,
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Itu karena seiring dengan
kita mencari informasi,
kita mencari informasi,
08:16
we increase our power to do something
about the things that we're afraid of.
about the things that we're afraid of.
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kita meningkatkan kekuatan untuk
mengatasi hal yang menakutkan untuk kita.
mengatasi hal yang menakutkan untuk kita.
08:21
And that brings me to my third point.
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Dan itu ada kaitannya dengan poin ketiga.
08:23
How much control do you feel that you have
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Seberapa besar Anda merasa punya kendali
08:27
over the gray rhinos in your life?
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atas badak abu-abu dalam hidup kalian?
08:30
One of the reasons we don't act
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Salah satu alasan kita tidak bertindak
08:32
is that we often feel too helpless.
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adalah karena sering merasa tidak berdaya.
08:35
Think of climate change,
it can feel so big,
it can feel so big,
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Pikirkan perubahan iklim,
rasanya sangat besar
rasanya sangat besar
08:38
that not a single one of us
could make a difference.
could make a difference.
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sampai masing-masing dari kita
tidak bisa membuat perbedaan.
tidak bisa membuat perbedaan.
08:42
So some people go about life denying it.
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Beberapa orang hidup menyangkal itu.
08:44
Other people blame everyone
except themselves.
except themselves.
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Beberapa menyalahkan semua orang
kecuali diri mereka sendiri.
kecuali diri mereka sendiri.
08:48
Like my friend who says
he's not ever going to give up his SUV
he's not ever going to give up his SUV
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Seperti teman saya yang ogah
merelakan mobil jipnya sampai
merelakan mobil jipnya sampai
08:50
until they stop building
coal plants in China.
coal plants in China.
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tambang batu bara
berhenti dibangun di Cina.
berhenti dibangun di Cina.
08:53
But we have an opportunity to change.
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Tapi kita berkesempatan untuk berubah.
08:56
No two of us are the same.
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Kita semua unik.
08:58
Every single one of us has the opportunity
to change our attitudes,
to change our attitudes,
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Masing-masing dari kita berkesempatan
untuk mengubah sikap kita
untuk mengubah sikap kita
09:03
our own and those of people around us.
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dan juga sikap orang lain di sekitar kita.
09:06
So today, I want to invite all of you
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Hari ini, saya ingin mengajak Anda semua
09:09
to join me in helping to spark
an open and honest conversation
an open and honest conversation
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untuk ikut menciptakan percakapan
jujur dan terbuka dengan semua orang
jujur dan terbuka dengan semua orang
09:14
with the people around you,
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di sekitar kalian,
09:15
about the gray rhinos in our world,
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tentang badak abu-abu di dunia kita,
09:19
and be brutally honest
about how well we're dealing with them.
about how well we're dealing with them.
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dan bersikap jujur tentang
kemampuan kita menghadapi itu.
kemampuan kita menghadapi itu.
09:23
I hear so many times in the States,
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Sudah sering saya dengar di AS,
09:25
"Well, of course we should
deal with obvious problems,
deal with obvious problems,
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"Jelas kita harus mengatasi
masalah yang kelihatan,
masalah yang kelihatan,
09:28
but if you don't see
what's in front of you,
what's in front of you,
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tapi jika Anda tidak
melihat hal di depan,
melihat hal di depan,
09:30
you're either dumb or ignorant."
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Anda pasti bodoh atau apatis."
09:32
That's what they say,
and I could not disagree more.
and I could not disagree more.
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Itu kata mereka, dan saya tidak setuju.
09:36
If you don't see what's in front of you,
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Kalau Anda tidak melihat
apa yang ada di depan Anda,
apa yang ada di depan Anda,
09:39
you're not dumb, you're not ignorant,
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Anda tidak bodoh ataupun apatis.
09:42
you're human.
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Anda manusia.
09:44
And once we all recognize
that shared vulnerability,
that shared vulnerability,
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Sekali kita menyadari titik lemah
bersama kita semua,
bersama kita semua,
09:49
that gives us the power to open our eyes,
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itu adalah kekuatan untuk
membuka mata kita,
membuka mata kita,
09:54
to see what's in front of us
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agar kita bisa melihat hal di depan kita
09:55
and to act before we get trampled.
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dan bertindak sebelum terinjak.
10:01
(Applause)
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(tepuk tangan)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Michele Wucker - Author, policy analystMichele Wucker coined the term "gray rhino" as a metaphor for obvious risks that are neglected despite -- in fact, often because of -- their size and likelihood.
Why you should listen
Michele Wucker's term "gray rhino" has moved markets and shaped financial policies around the world. She is the author of the international bestseller The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore, which China's leadership has used to frame and communicate its efforts to crack down on financial risk.
Drawing on three decades of experience in financial media and think tank management, turnarounds and policy analysis, Wucker is founder of the Chicago-based strategy firm Gray Rhino & Company, which helps organizations to better manage gray rhino risks. She speaks regularly on risk management, leadership, macro strategy and decision-making for high-level global audiences. She has been recognized as a Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum and a Guggenheim Fellow, among other honors.
Wucker's first two books, Lockout: Why America Keeps Getting Immigration Wrong When Our Prosperity Depends on Getting It Right and Why the Cocks Fight: Dominicans, Haitians, and the Struggle for Hispaniola, continue to influence policy debates.
Michele Wucker | Speaker | TED.com